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Thursday, June 17, 2021

Braves snap Phillies’ win streak by scoring 5 extra-inning runs in wild, odds-defying trend

braves-celebrate.jpg

The Philadelphia Phillies got here into their Saturday night time contest in opposition to the Atlanta Braves, which the Braves ultimately gained in extras (ATL 8, PHI 7 – 12 innings), driving a five-game win streak that pushed them to the highest of the NL East standings. For a time, it seemed very very like they might push that win streak to 6 video games, however the Braves thwarted these hopes with not one however three late-inning comebacks. 

To get a full grasp of issues, take a look on the win expectancy chart, which tracks every group’s probabilities of successful a given recreation: 

Within the backside of the ninth, the Braves have been chasing two runs and all the way down to their last strike when veteran batsman Pablo Sandoval got here by with a clutch pinch-hit homer off Philly nearer Hector Neris. Earlier in that body, the Braves’ probabilities of successful dipped to 1.5 %. That was Sandoval’s fourth pinch-hit dwelling run of the season, which places him on tempo to interrupt the single-season report of seven pinch-hit dwelling runs. The report is shared by Dave Hansen of the Dodgers in 2000 and Craig Wilson of the Pirates in 2001. 

Within the eleventh, the Braves have been down 4-3 and burdened by a meager 16.9 % likelihood of successful, however a leadoff single by Ehire Adrianza within the dwelling half plated the automated runner and tied the rating once more. The wheels got here off for the Braves within the high of the twelfth thanks in giant measure to a fielding error by catcher William Contreras and a throwing error by reliever Jacob Webb. Moments after his throwing error, Webb allowed one other run to attain when he uncared for to cowl dwelling plate whereas Contreras scurried to retrieve his errant throw. The Phillies wound up plating three runs within the inning to take a commanding 7-4 lead. When Andrew Knapp scored that seventh Philly run of the night, the Braves’ probabilities of successful dipped once more to 2.1 %. 

But once more, although, the Braves answered again. This is how the underside of the twelfth unfolded, a lot to the chagrin of the Phillies and their rooters: 

  • Computerized runner
  • Stroll
  • Single
  • Bases-clearing double
  • Pitching change
  • Batter secure at first on sac bunt, runner advances to 3rd
  • Stroll-off single 

As you might have already surmised, the Phillies didn’t report a single out en path to blowing that three-run lead within the twelfth. All of it seemed just a little one thing like this: 

As a consequence, the Phillies fell proportion factors behind the New York Mets within the NL East standings, and the Braves pulled to inside 1 1/2 video games of the lead. If it is any comfort for the Phillies — and it most likely is not — then they need to recall that their earlier absurdly crushing loss instantly preceded that now-dead five-game win streak. Fundamental correlation-causation errors can sometimes be a supply of consolation, you already know. 

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